Factor in the 8.6°C temperature and 61% chance of rain, and that under 164.5 starts looking very attractive at +8.3% edge. The wet conditions should slow ball movement and reduce scoring efficiency, particularly for Hawthorn’s tall forward mix that clicked so well in dry conditions last week. The 19.2% edge we’re getting on Melbourne head-to-head reflects this competitive form that the straight win-loss record doesn’t capture. With AFL teams hitting the training paddock now for the 2025 season, there’s excellent punting value now by getting the best odds for your pick to win the 2025 AFL Brownlow Medal before the season begins.

What are you really gambling with?

Pressure is on Gold Coast and GWS to hold on to a finals spot, and we fancy the SUNS to win on Saturday afternoon. Covering the –24.5 line shouldn’t be hard either, so back St Kilda to get Round 23 off to a winning start. If you’re ready to hop on board the Barrett train, you can find his 2025 predictions here. Or view all collected 2025 predicted ladders from both media experts and models. All utilise our services to bet profitably leveraging Australia’s most respected, reputable & profitable professional tipping organisation. Profit Guarantee Refund, Professional Betting Education Pack, Loyalty Bonus Credits & Outstanding Customer Support including e-mail access to Will are all available with this service.

Collingwood are coming off their third loss of the 2025 AFL season and will be eager to show that was nothing more than a bump in the road. The Dockers have caused the Pies some problems in their last couple of meetings, so back this one to stay under 39 points. GoBet is your trusted source for fast, free betting tips and insights. Adelaide loves playing at home, and it’s good enough to cover the –16.5 spread with a complete performance on Saturday night. They are always tough to beat at home, and they tend to play much better during the daytime. The conditions suit them more than the Giants, which is why they’re favoured to win.

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• While St Kilda saluted when these teams met at Docklands earlier in the season, Geelong have won 12 in a row against the Saints at Kardinia Park.
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AFL Round 22 Preview

The Demons are always a tough team to predict, but with all things being equal, Hawthorn should win and cover the spread. The Hawks showed just how good they can be last week when beating Collingwood , and they shouldn’t take their foot off the gas pedal on Saturday against Melbourne. A win over Brisbane would be huge, and we’re happy to take the risk and back the home team. Every year, the AFL unexpectedly releases the fixture on the first day of my holidays. Then thirty seconds later people start messaging to ask when I’m updating the site. As usual, models did better than pundits on average, filling half the top 10 slots but few of the lower ones.

Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Saturday August 9th 2025

Includes game summaries, AFL expert tips and best Back and Lay bets for every round. Essendon were out with a 39 point lead at half time after scoring 8 goals to 1 in the second term. Hawthorn then ambushed who came out visit site with their own 8 goal to 1 run in the third term to drag it back in. The game seesawed in the final term with the Hawks getting over the line by a single point. One for the ages would say the AFL hierarchy, for us, good luck not being able to defend to these two teams. There are many great Australian sports betting sites available for you to join – so many, in fact, that choosing the right one for you can feel like a daunting task.